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目录 1

The Objects and Tasks of Marxist Science ofFutures Studies by Wei Hueiyuan 2

Forecasting Futures by the Principals ofMarxist Philosophy by Zhang Shueli 5

The Application of Futures Studies to QualityManagement of Scientific Research by Zhang Sin Sun BenchuanZhang Sunjiang 12

On China s Energy Forecasts and EnergyPolicy by Gong Guangyu 16

The Peaceful Utilization of Nuclear Explosionand the Transformation of the Desert inNorth-West China by Chun Tao 20

Forecasting Warfare in 80s by Kan Han Chun Hua 25

A Forecast:the Growth Rate of SoyietEconomy in 80s by Luo Zhaohong 29

The Present State and Trends of the Techno-logical Backbone of the Medical Contingents by Geng Xiceng 32

The Development of OR/SA in China by Songchun Jifa 38

A Scenario:the Future of the ChineseCharacters by Li Xing 43

When You Iive in a City in the Future by Huang Minglu 48

A Case Analysis in National Defence Forecasts:Cost/Effect Forecast of Military Aircraft by Heng Song Zhu Souqin 53

《Long Zhong Strategy》and《On ProtractedWar》:Two Historical Cases by San Qi 61

Meeting:The Seventh Congress of WFSFWill Be Held in New Delhi 62

Report:The Chinese Academy of SocialSciences Admits New Research Fellowsin Future Field by Examination 62