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PART I. The Crisis of Containment: 1969-1972 1

I. President Nixon and the Shift to Modified Containment, 1969-1970 3

Assessment and Response: First Steps 5

The Ideal and the Real 9

Strategy in Practice, the China Connection 15

Vietnam and the Middle East Connection 25

Cambodian Crisis-Turning Point in the Vietnam War 33

The Decision to Uphold Lon Nol 41

2. Alliance Crisis and the Road to Detente, 1970-1971 46

Soviet Riposte in the Middle East: May-September 1970 47

Diversion and Counterdiversion in Cuba 58

Problems of Alliance and Collective Defense 63

Detente, Dependence, and Defense 69

Countering Fractionation in the Alliance 74

Raising the Price of Oil 78

Restructuring the International Monetary System 85

3. The Soviet Counterstrategy, 1971-1972 90

Strategic Watershed-the Twenty-Fourth Party Congress 91

Moscow's Decision Point in Vietnam 94

Structural Crisis in the Middle East 100

Opportunity to Restructure the South Asian Balance 105

Indo-Pakistani War and United States-Soviet Relations 109

Moscow Shifts Course in Vietnam 118

The Easter Invasion and the Prelude to Negotiations 125

The Moscow Summit and Vietnam 130

PART II. Detente And Transition: The Kissinger Shogunate, 1973-1976 197

6. War and Realignment, the Middle East, 1973 199

Impasse and Opportunity in the Middle East 204

Washington Prepares for Structural Change 209

Economic Contention in the Alliance 214

Toward October and Yom Kippur 221

Yom Kippur: Soviet and American Objectives 230

Superpower-Client Wartime Interaction 236

Endgame Crises: Superpower-Client Conflicts 244

8. The Failure of Trilateralism: 1973-1976 253

Yom Kippur and American-Israeli Relations 254

Impasse over the "Jordanian Option" 261

United States-Israeli Strategic Crisis 264

Intensification of Intra-allied Political Contention 274

Prodding the Allies into Disarray 278

High Oil Prices, Trade, and the Dollar 282

9. Detente and Tripolar Politics, 1973-I 976 289

The Economic Web of Detente 290

The Political-Economic Quid Pro Quo 294

Moscow's Missile Breakout and the United States Quandary 299

Chinese Expectations and american Policy in Asia 308

Moscow Probes for an Opening in Beijing 313

American Inaction in Vietnam and Beijing's Response 319

10.Angola and detente: The Politics of Desperation 325

Kissingcr's Angolan Gamble 326

Kissinger Rolls the Dice 328

The Secretary Raises the Stakes 332

Kissinger Throws Craps and Changes the Game 336

Washington Intervenes and Tips the Balance 340

Moscow Plays a'lrump: the Cuban Card 345

Kissinger, Angola, and Detente 350

Conclusion 356

NOTES 358

INDEX 407